Analysis and research-driven commentary tied to poll findings and developments in the news
71% of Indians expect first year of Modi government to boost economy
If the Indian public’s sense of its own well-being and that of the nation does not improve in both absolute and relative terms, the Modi government may eventually be called to account.
Indians Don’t Hate Foreigners and Their Money Anymore
President Barack Obama will travel to India in January to participate in the Indian Republic Day celebration in New Delhi as the chief guest. While there he is expected to talk trade and anti-terrorism with his host Prime Minister Narendra Modi.
If and when the new Congress considers implementing legislation for the TPP, that legislative fight might expose the dirty little secret of current American trade politics: both Democrats and Republicans in Congress seem to be out of touch with their own political bases on trade issues.
Indians Are Now More Supportive of Trade and Foreign Investment
The Indian public’s views on trade and foreign investment are more positive than past Indian governments have claimed and more positive than foreigners often assume.
Xi’s in the Money
For Xi Jinping and China’s leaders, the Nov. 5-11 APEC summit should provide a welcome opportunity to showcase China’s economic progress.
Lame Duck? Shots Fired.
Americans head to the polls on Tuesday, Nov. 4, with major international issues — the U.S. effort to counter Islamic State (IS) extremism, how to deal with Iran, the Israeli-Palestinian situation, Russia, and President Barack Obama’s general handling of foreign policy — likely to play a role in their vote.
Is Laziness the Cause of Economic Inequality?
When offered the chance to choose one out of six different causes for inequality — government economic policies, workers’ pay, the educational system, trade, the tax system and the poor’s work ethic — people around the world generally agree that the gap between the rich and the poor is a product of failed government policies and inadequate wages.
World Remains Glum about Economic Prospects
Six years since the beginning of the Great Recession and publics around the world remain glum about the state of their economy and prospects for an economic recovery. In most nations, people say their country is heading in the wrong direction and most voice the view that economic conditions are bad.
Did NSA Snooping Hurt U.S. Image? Not So Much
It is conventional wisdom among many pundits and opinion leaders that recent revelations of spying by the U.S. National Security Agency have deeply scarred America’s reputation abroad.
Keep Your Eyes on Beijing
Even as Washington and other Western capitals are understandably preoccupied with Ukraine and the Middle East, the pot in Asia is simmering towards a boil.
Japan, China Neck and Neck in Asian Popularity Contest
The rivalry between China and Japan is heating up. China is viewed with favor for its economic contribution to the region, but with concern about its territorial ambitions throughout the region. Japan, while not in China’s class economically, is quite popular — at least outside Northeast Asia.
How the World Sees Obama
Beleaguered at home, U.S. President Barack Obama remains beloved in many nations abroad, and he is far more popular than his predecessor George W. Bush.
No Difference a Year Makes
Overall, attitudes toward the United States are largely unchanged from 2013. This suggests that despite a perception at home that U.S. influence abroad is waning, there is little evidence of that erosion overseas.
Americans Deeply Divided on U.S. Role in World
Americans are more inward looking today on foreign policy issues than they have been at any time in the last half century, and the fissures that separate one American from another on international affairs are far more nuanced than a simple left-right disagreement.
The Middle East Has Thrown in the Towel on Making Peace with Israel
New polls from across the Middle East show a deep pessimism on the possibility of a non-violent, two-state solution for Israelis and Palestinians.
Between Assad and a Hard Place
Syria’s neighbors fear an extremist Syria, and they want Assad to go, but there is no support among publics in the Middle East for either Western or Arab intervention to achieve those ends.
Is America dangerously divided?
Republicans and Democrats in the United States are more divided along ideological lines, and the resulting political acrimony is deeper and more extensive, than at any point in recent U.S. history.
Is Ukraine More Like Latvia or Greece?
Ukraine will be at the top of the agenda when the leaders of the G7 advanced economies meet in Brussels, and their deliberations are likely to focus on what their governments can do to bolster the newly elected Ukrainian government in the face of continued violence by pro-Russian sympathizers within the country.
Survey Research and International Affairs
When done well, surveys give the public a voice and ensure that the beliefs and opinions of ordinary citizens are heard in debates about important political, economic, and social topics.
Why EU Election Results Are No Surprise
Europe’s voters have spoken – and what they had to say has shaken capitals across the continent as far right and some far left parties made significant gains in elections to the European parliament.
Egypt Isn’t Stable
Former Defense Minister Abdel Fattah al-Sisi is certain to emerge victorious. While international observers and his Islamist rivals will question the legitimacy of his victory, Sisi will emerge from the vote in control of the Egyptian state.
Americans Simply Don’t Care About Peace in the Middle East
No one said a Middle East peace deal was going to be easy. Brokering such an agreement has been a lost cause for what’s now a long line of U.S. presidents. As always, Israelis, Palestinians, and Americans have begun to point fingers over who is to blame for the recent breakdown.
Americans want to steer clear of Ukraine crisis
As the crisis in Ukraine deepens, Americans back the kind of economic sanctions against Russia recently announced by the Obama administration. But even as allegations mount of covert Russian intervention in Ukraine, a war-weary American public doesn’t back getting tougher on Moscow.
Who’s Down with TPP?
Elements of both the Obama administration’s signature trade initiatives, while generally backed by the public, have been subject to criticism and face an uncertain future on Capitol Hill, where Congress will eventually have to approve any final agreements.
Despite Protectionist Image, Americans Want Freer Trade with Japan
Broad American support for international commerce, for increased trade with Japan and for the TPP suggests the political climate in Washington for congressional consideration of an eventual TPP deal may not be as negative as it might appear given the current negotiating deadlock over details of the trade agreement.
China or America? Indians Pick U.S.
As Indians head to the polls over the next six weeks, their country again finds itself in a world with two preeminent powers: this time, China and the United States.
Worry, but Wait
Russia’s annexation of Crimea and China’s territorial ambitions in the East and South China Seas are a stark reminder that balance of power politics are alive and well in the 21st century, long after some pundits dismissed them as relics of a bygone era.
Turkey’s Twitter Block and Global Internet Freedom
Vladimir Putin has never been a fan of a free press or open public debates, but the Ukraine crisis has provided the Kremlin with a new favorite target for cracking down even more harshly on political expression: cyberspace.
Will Ukraine Crisis Hasten Decline of Russia’s Global Image?
Regardless of what happens in the coming days and weeks in Ukraine, it is already apparent that the crisis has taken its toll on some key players in the court of international opinion: Russia, Russian President Vladimir Putin, Western solidarity and U.S. President Barack Obama.
Let’s Sit This One Out
As Europe and the United States struggle to come up with a unified response to Russia’s military encroachment in Ukraine, one of their biggest challenges may be to convince their publics to take any strong action at all.