Analysis and research-driven commentary tied to poll findings and developments in the news
‘Nativism’ and the upcoming Swedish and Bavarian elections
Special to EUObserver Swedes head to the polls in September in a national parliamentary election. Bavarians vote in October in a state election. The Swedish outcome will determine the composition of the next government in Stockholm, and the influence of the anti-immigrant Sweden Democrats, currently the second-largest party. The Bavarian voting may challenge the control […]
Is Italy a Foretaste of What’s to Come For European Populism?
Special to RealClearWorld Support for many populist parties is on the rise in Europe. Alternative fur Deutschland (AfD) is now the third largest political party in Germany, with seats in the German Bundestag for the first time. Italy’s anti-immigrant League is the country’s third-largest party and became co-leader of the government after this spring’s national election. And in […]
What do Americans really think about the U.S.-EU trade tiff?
Special to the Washington Post Former British prime minister Harold Macmillan once trenchantly observed that: “Jaw, jaw is better than war, war.” The announcement on July 25 by President Trump and European Union President Jean-Claude Juncker that the United States and the European Union would work together to reduce tariffs and other trade barriers was a tacit acknowledgment of […]
First They Came for the Immigrants. Then They Came for the Robots.
Special to Foreign Policy The phrase “you ain’t seen nothin’ yet” has been used as the title of several pop songs and a French film. It could also aptly describe the future of politics across the globe as the twin specters of nationalism and populism intensify and people grapple with the social and economic impacts of […]
Why Europeans Turned Against Trump
Special to The Atlantic With the Trump administration’s recent withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, the already rocky relationship between the United States and its European allies has become even more tenuous. For many Europeans, Trump’s decision to pull the United States out of the Iran accord crystallizes what they dislike about his approach to […]
A Fundamental Challenge to U.S. Leadership Abroad
Special to RealClear World In the weeks ahead, and in the wake of Washington visits by French President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel, there is much at stake for the United States and its key allies in Europe. The U.S. decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal raises questions about future […]
Do America and Europe have as strong a relationship as we think?
Special to The Hill In the wake of the state visit to Washington of French President Emmanuel Macron and the upcoming meeting between German Chancellor Angela Merkel and President Donald Trump, an already rocky relationship between the United States and Europe faces serious challenges in the months ahead. May 12 is the deadline for a Trump administration […]
Fewer People in Latin America See the U.S. Favorably Under Trump
The eighth Summit of the Americas begins this Friday in Lima, Peru. President Donald Trump was originally scheduled to attend the summit, but he has now decided to stay in Washington to address the ongoing crisis in Syria. Vice President Mike Pence will represent the United States in Trump’s place. Pence’s visit comes amid a […]
Europeans Want Direct Democracy
Across the 10 EU countries the Pew Research Center polled in 2017, a median of 50 percent say they are dissatisfied with the way democracy is working in their country.
Many Americans Going to the Polls Are Not Happy With Our Democracy
Just 46 percent of Americans say they are satisfied with the way democracy is working today in the United States, according to a 2017 Pew Research Center survey.
Strongman Modi Chimes With Voters but Seen as Soft on Pakistan
Local election victories reflect prime minister's nationwide appeal
Taking the Measure of America’s Powers of Attraction
America’s much-vaunted soft power, which has long been touted as an antidote to its oft-criticized “hard power” image, is actually enhanced more by pop-culture exports than by its reputation for protecting civil liberties or its ideas about democracy.
U.S. Adults Worry About Global Regard for Their Nation
A polarized electorate and alarming policy reversals reduce confidence at home and abroad in U.S. global leadership
Global Confidence in the United States Is Shaken
Though just six months old, Donald Trump’s presidency has already had a major impact on how the world views the United States.
New Crisis of Confidence in U.S. Leadership
Almost seven months into Donald Trump’s presidency, the president is losing “bigly” on the world stage. According to polling by the Pew Research Centre, belief in the US’ ability to lead in world affairs is at an all time low.
The EU Is Alive and Well, But the Referendums Are Coming
The resounding June 18 victory of the pro-European Union En Marche party in the French National Assembly elections suggests, to paraphrase Mark Twain, that reports of the imminent death of the EU were premature.
Do British Voters Regret Brexit Enough to Dump Theresa May?
A new Pew Research Center survey finds that 48 percent in Britain think exiting the EU will be bad for their country, compared with 44 percent who say Brexit will benefit their nation.
Americans want sanctions against North Korea. What will Trump do?
When Congress reconvenes next week, North Korea and China will be near the top of the Washington policy agenda, if not the legislative calendar.
Frustrations and expectations in sub-Saharan Africa
When asked about the most pressing problems in their countries, people in sub-Saharan Africa often recite a familiar list of challenges: poverty, health care, education, corruption, and other difficult issues.
Americans’ fear of China ebbs in the age of Trump
Ahead of that ‘difficult’ Xi summit, Americans’ worries about U.S. debt, job losses and trade imbalances have eased, and their overall opinion of China has grown more positive.
The Politics of Belonging
The tide of people moving across the world as immigrants or refugees has sparked concern in the developed world – from the United States to Europe to Australia.
In light of Trump’s travel ban, do you have to be Christian to be a true American?
The White House claims that an executive order temporarily closing U.S. borders to refugees and others from seven predominantly Muslim countries is about national security, not religion. Critics claim the order amounts to a ban on Muslims.
Refugees in the Mind of the West
The Trump administration’s executive order was a reminder that immigration has been a hotly contested issue in American politics at various times in both the 19th and 20th centuries.
Scared of China? In U.S., fear runs along age, partisan lines
Over the past quarter century, more than one U.S. president has pledged to get “tough on China.”
A U.S. dream, or nightmare, for Europeans?
“America,” wrote Hannah Arendt in 1954, “has been both the dream and the nightmare of Europe.”
Populism is not a coherent transatlantic trend
As 2017 begins, populist politics are on the rise on both sides of the Atlantic.
Trump Supporters and the Asia-Pacific
The election of Donald Trump ushers in a new chapter in US relations with the Asia-Pacific region.
Europe’s Far-Right Anger Is Moving Mainstream
In the wake of the Brexit vote in Britain and the recent Italian referendum, and with national elections looming in 2017 in the Netherlands, France, and Germany, there is concern that Europe may be inundated by a populist wave.
Trump Supporters Have an Appetite for Risk
Better understanding public discontent—where it corresponds with candidate Trump’s stated policy positions and where it contradicts them–provides insights into future popular support for potential Trump administration policies, especially those that relate to the rest of the world.
Voters are fed up with politicians. But that doesn’t mean they’ve given up on democracy
Governments seem to be getting poor reviews around much of the globe. In Western and non-Western nations, in the Global South and the Global North, disillusionment with politicians is widespread.